Looking for Tuesday night’s election results and analysis? We’ve got you covered as the Bay Area News Group’s Paul Rogers reports on the trends and impact of the results while bringing you live coverage beginning at 7:30 p.m.
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The Big Takeaways tonight:
Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, who received the most votes in Tuesday's election for California governor, speaks at his victory party Tuesday evening in San Francisco.
1) It's Democrat Gavin Newsom vs.Republican John Cox in the November general election for governor. 2) Dianne Feinstein easily was the top vote-getter in her re-election race for U.S. Senate, It appears fellow Democrat Kevin De Leon will win the second spot in the top-two primary, meaning that if current trends hold, Republicans will not have a candidate for U.S. Senate in the November election. 3) Voters were in a recall mood. Santa Clara County Court Judge Aaron Persky was removed from the bench over his six-month sentence for Brock Turner, the former Stanford swimmer convicted two years ago of sexual assault, and rookie Orange County Democratic State Sen. Josh Newman also appears to be going down to recall defeat, after his vote for Gov. Jerry Brown' 12-cent-per-gallon gas tax to pay for roads and highways last year. Look for Republicans to make the gas tax a major issue as they seek to motivate their base in November to turn out. 4) Fears that too many Democrats running for Republican-held House seats would split the vote and send two Republicans to the November general election in some congressional districts appear not to have materialized, a good sign for the Democratic campaign to flip 23 House seats nationwide from Republicans and take back control of the House of Representatives. 5) Voters approved four of the five statewide ballot measures, taking a pro-environment bent. They approved a $4.1 billion parks and water bond, the first parks bond in 12 years, and also gave the OK to a tax break for rain barrel systems, and they rejected a measure that would have given Republicans more say in spending the state's greenhouse gas permit revenues. That measure, Prop 70, was opposed by environmental groups.
Prop 70, to give Republicans more power to spend California's greenhouse gas revenues, trails badly
Chevron’s Richmond refinery, along with other refineries, are among the leading producers of greenhouse gases and other air pollution in California.
Proposition 70, which was put on the ballot by Gov. Jerry Brown as part of a compromise last year to secure a handful of Republican votes to extend the state's cap-and-trade greenhouse gas program, is trailing 61-39 and appears headed for defeat. The measure would have required a two-thirds majority after Jan. 1, 2024 to spend the proceeds from the state's greenhouse gas permit auctions on refineries, factories and other large industrial polluters -- a program that raised $3.3 billion this year. Brown's measure, which he did not campaign for, was opposed by environmentalists opposed. Brown and Democratic lawmakers will spend the money this year on a variety of programs, including $810 million on electric car rebates and grants, $730 million on high-speed rail and $584 million on affordable housing near transit, among other things. Sam Liccardo easily wins re-election as San Jose mayor LIccardo, a former prosecutor with a degree from Harvard Law School who was first elected in 2014, cruises to a 74-15 percent victory over Steve Brown, his closest challenger, to continue to lead California's third largest city.
San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo speaks to his followers at the election returns watch party at Mezcal restaurant in San Jose, California on June 5, 2018.
That's one way to play it safe. Like if the Giants kept the gates closed until they had a 3-run lead.
Bridge toll measure leads 54-46 Regional Measure 3, a $3 bridge toll increase over the next six years to raise $4.5 billion for BART expansion, new highway lanes and interchanges, and other transportation projects, is clearing the 50 percent bar in seven of the nine Bay Area counties. Only Contra Costa and Solano are below 50 percent on it.
Breed leads in San Francisco mayor's race
Environmental groups claim cictory on Prop 68 parks bond The $4.1 billion bond measure for parks, beaches, forests and water projects leads by 55.5 percent to 44.5 percent, with 40 percent of precincts reporting statewide.
What's does it all mean so far? Quick observations as 11 pm nears:
1) We appear to be in for a traditional governor's race this fall: A well-funded Democrat facing a Republican with less name recognition and very steep odds. Democrats outnumber Republicans 44-25 in party registration, so Gavin Newsom will need to stumble badly to lose to San Diego businessman John Cox. 2) Newsom will tie Donald Trump, who is highly unpopular in California, to Cox at every turn. 3) What happened to former LA Mayor Antonia Villaraigosa? In the race for governor, he appears to have flamed out. He's currently running third, just barely ahead of Republican Travis Allen, with both candidates hovering around 11 percent. Pundits will say that Newsom started campaigning three years ago, raised his profile with regular TV appearances and liberal stances like marijuana legalization, and had broad support in the Bay Area, where voter turnout tends to be higher than in LA, Villaraigosa's base. After all the ballots are counted and research done, it may well be that Latino turnout unperformed the general public (again), and that Villaraigosa carved out a niche too narrow -- the moderate Democrat -- too left for Republicans and too right for most Democratic primary voters. 4) The gas tax repeal will help drive Republican voters to the polls in November. Democratic State Sen. Josh Newman of Orange County is going down in a recall election over his vote for the gas tax last year. It's a clue that Jerry Brown, Democrats and labor unions will have to step up their game to save their 12-cent-per gallon road funding measure. 5) #MeToo remains a powerful force. The likely recall of Santa Clara County Court Judge Aaron Persky by a wide margin -- 59-42 currently -- over his controversial 6-month sentence for convicted sex offender Brock Turner, a former Stanford swimmer, shows that unfair treatment and bias against women continues to be a major movement in California and the U.S.
Marshall Tuck, supported by charter school advocates, and opposed by teachers unions, leads in the race for state schools superintendent.
Measure to ban sales of flavored tobacco products in San Francisco has big lead
Proposition E, which would ban the sale of menthol cigarettes and flavored tobacco products used in electronic cigarettes is leading 69-31 percent in early returns. Health advocates and medical groups said it wold help reduce smoking, particularly among teens, while tobacco companies led by RJ Reynolds spent $12 million trying to defeat it. Prop 68, the $4 billion parks and water bond, has a solid lead
Spring wildflowers at Carmel River State Beach on March 21, 2018.
Californians usually support funding for parks, water projects, schools and highways. Since 1993, voters have approved 31 of 39 state bond measures, a 79 percent success rate. And tonight seems to be no different. Proposition 68, a $4.1 billion statewide bond measure to fund state parks, local parks, beach restoration, forest preservation and water projects such as conservation, water recycling and groundwater cleanup, is leading by a 55-45 percent margin. Most of the vote in large liberal strongholds is still not in, including in LA County, where only 5 percent of the precincts have been tallied. That's good news for parks lovers, who have waited 12 years since the passage of their last measure, Proposition 84, a $5.4 billion measure for parks, water and flood control projects that was approved by 54 percent of state voters 12 years ago. Recall against Judge Aaron Persky leads by sizable margin Santa Clara County Superior Court Judge Aaron Persky appears to be headed for recall, which would make him the first judge in 86 years in California removed from the bench by voters in a recall process. Yes votes on the recall lead 58-42 percent with 39 percent of precincts reporting. Persky drew enormous criticism online after sentencing former Stanford swimmer Brock Turner to six months in jail two years ago on sexual assault charges after Turner was found on top of an unconscious woman. Critics said the sentence was too lenient and showed bias against women in the state's judicial system. Supporters noted the the case was reviewed by the California Commission on Judicial Performance, which concluded Persky had not shown bias or abuse of his authority. Persky and his defenders said a recall sets a dangerous precedent against judicial independence, but the case galvanized opponents and was seen as a major battle in the #MeToo movement. Gavin Newsom moves on to November general election. But whom will he face? Bay Area Toll Hike for Transportation Projects Leads Motorists drive through the toll area on the San Mateo Bridge.
Motorists appear willing to open their wallets for better roads, more BART and other transportation upgrades. Regional Measure 3, which would increase tolls on the seven state-owned bridges in the Bay Area (but not the Golden Gate) by $3 over the next six years to raise $4.5 billion for 25 high-profile projects, leads 54-46 percent. The measure, which needs a combined 50 percent of the vote in all nine Bay Area counties to pass -- not 50 percent in each county -- has strong support in San Francisco and Santa Clara counties, with 61 percent voting yes. That is so far offsetting counties where the measure is being rejected, including Contra Costa (54 percent no) and Solano (68 percent no). The measure was backed by the Silicon Valley Leadership Group, labor organizations, Sen. Dianne Feinstein, Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom and environmental groups like Save the Bay. The money raised would fund 25 big projects, including new BART trains, BART to downtown San Jose, new carpool lanes, express lanes and interchanges on Interstate 680, 101 and other freeways, expanded ferry service on San Francisco Bay and expanded Caltrain and AC Transit service. State Ballot Measures: Rain-barrel tax break, transportation lock-box appear heading for victory Judy Adler, of Walnut Creek, stands in her backyard next to her three 3,000-galloon water reservoir tanks at her home in Walnut Creek, Calif. on Friday, Feb. 2, 2018. Adler estimates that she is able to capture 30,000 gallons of rain water from the roof of her 2,800 square-foot house during an average of 18 inches of rain per year. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
Of the five statewide ballot measures, three lead by huge margins and appear headed for victory. Proposition 72, a tax break for people who purchase rain barrels for their property, is ahead with 84 percent of the vote. The measure was written by Bay Area State Sen. Steve Glazer of Orinda, and came after a constituent suggested he pursue it. Rain barrels can collect 10,800 gallons of water a year from a typical 1,500 square-foot house that receives 12 inches of rain a year. They gained new prominence during the recent drought. Proposition 69, which would require the money collected under the 12-cent-per-gallon gas tax signed by Gov. Jerry Brown last year to only be spent on transportation-related purchases, such as building new highways, was leading with 82 percent of the vote. And Proposition 71, a housekeeping measure that requires ballot measures to take effect five days after the Secretary of State certifies election results, also appeared heading for passage with 78 percent of the vote.
Feinstein advances to November general election And the Associated Press has called it.
Feinstein way ahead in early returns
Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-California.
Californians seem comfortable with their senior senator, first elected in 1992. With just 2 percent of the vote in statewide, incumbent Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein has a huge lead -- 41.4 percent to 11 percent for Republican James Bradely, with Democratic state Senate leader Kevin De Leon at 8 percent. Polls close, Newsom out to an early lead.
With 2 percent of the vote in statewide, Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom has 39.4 percent of the vote, followed by Republican John Cox, with 23.1 percent and Democrat Antonio Villaraigosa with 12 percent.
More than 100,000 voters in LA told they weren't on the voter list
It looks like there is an election problem in Los Angeles County. A total of 118,522 voters names were omitted from voting rosters at roughly a third of the city's polling places. When voters arrived to vote, they were told their names weren't on the list. LA County Registrar Dean Logan said election workers were instructed to give all the voters affected provisional ballots that will allow them to vote. “Our office is committed to ensuring every voter has a positive voting experience on Election Day,” Logan said in a statement. “We apologize for the inconvenience and concern this has caused. Voters should be assured their vote will be counted.” Provisional ballots are counted in the election returns once their registration is confirmed. Past election records show that on average 85-90 percent of provisional ballots are determined to be valid and counted. Among the voters who showed up to vote only to be told that their name wasn't on the list? Actor Henry Winkler.Election 2018 Live Blog: What to Watch for Tonight Sure, it's not as exciting as a presidential race, but tonight's June 5 primary election is a big night for Californians. There are 27 candidates for governor on the ballot, half a dozen key congressional races that could decide whether Democrats retake the House of Representatives in November, and a host of key ballot measures around the Bay Area, dealing with everything from bridge toll hikes to open space development to bans on menthol cigarettes.Five big questions: 1) Governor’s race - who faces Gavin Newsom in November?
Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom last month at a gubernatorial debate in San Jose.
California’s Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom has led the race to succeed Gov. Jerry Brown wire-to-wire, in polling results and in money raised. But if he comes out ahead tonight, as expected, who will Newsom face in the November general election? It’s the most closely watched question of the night. Under California’s top-two primary rules, Republicans and Democrats run against each other in primary elections and the two candidates with the most votes, regardless of party, move on to the November general election. Newsom would love to face a Republican, like San Diego businessman John Cox, in November. That’s because registered Democratic voters outnumber Republicans 44-25 percent statewide, giving Newsom a massive head start to what many pundits would consider an easy coronation to the governor’s office. But many Democratic strategists have a different view than their front-runner. They would like Cox, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, to finish behind former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa in the race for second place. That would put two Democrats in the November general election, shutting out Republicans, and reducing interest and turnout among Republican voters, which could help Democrats win more congressional seats in November and increase their chances of winning back the House of Representatives. If Cox fades tonight, then Villaraigosa, with deep fundraising abilities and familiarity in population-heavy Southern California, could give Newsom a real fight in November. Still hoping for a miracle are GOP Assemblyman Travis Allen of Huntington Beach, and a pair of Democrats, state Treasurer John Chiang, and former state schools superintendent Delaine Eastin. A key to the race will be Latino turnout, particularly in Los Angeles. Will Hispanic voters continue to underperform as they have in past elections, or have Trump’s strict immigration policies sparked a Latino wave that could help push Villaraigosa to the November general election? 2) Will California decide who controls Congress?
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco, applauds during the 2018 California Democrats State Convention in February. If Democrats flip 23 seats by November, they will retake control of the House of Representatives, and Pelosi likely will become Speaker again.
It’s rare that California elections have a big impact on national politics. But that could be the case tonight. Democrats need to pick up 23 seats in the House of Representatives in November to retake control of that 435-member chamber from Republicans. If Democrats can flip 23 seats, much of Trump’s agenda will be shut down, starting in January. San Francisco’s Nancy Pelosi would likely become Speaker of the House again. Democrats will launch numerous investigations into Trump’s finances, his potential business conflicts of interest, and his campaign’s involvement with Russia before the 2016 election. Some Democratic lawmakers have promised to begin impeachment proceedings. That road to flipping 23 runs right through California. Seven of California’s 53 congressional seats are in districts where Hillary Clinton won more votes than Trump in 2016, but which are currently held by Republican incumbents. Democrats are hoping to pick up as man of these vulnerable seats as they can in deep blue California -- along with others in Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Florida. Democrats are hoping for wins in the following five California congressional districts now held by Republicans: - CA-10 (Jeff Denham in the Modesto area) - CA-21 (David Valadao in the San Joaquin Valley) - CA-25 (Steve Knight in Northern LA-Ventura County area) - CA-45 (Mimi Walters in Orange County) - CA-48 (Dana Rohrabacher in the Huntington Beach area) And they dearly want victories in two seats held by Republicans who chose not to run for re-election: - CA-39 (Ed Royce in Los Angeles and Orange counties) - CA-49, (Darrell Issa, in northern San Diego County) But there’s a hitch for Democrats. They should have no problem getting in the top two for many of these races and advancing to the November general election. But in some areas, particularly Rohrbacher’s district -- where challengers are so energized that there are eight Democrats and six Republicans running -- that the vote could be split so many ways that Republicans capture the top two spots, shutting out Democrats in November. 3) Are voters ready to use the nuclear option?
Voters will decide whether Santa Clara County Superior Court Judge Aaron Persky becomes the first judge in California recalled in 86 years, following controversy over his sixth-month sentence for former Stanford swimmer Brock Turner, who was convicted of sexual assault charges in 2016.
Remember how voters threw former Gov. Gray Davis out of office in 2003? They may go there again tonight. There are two high-profile recall elections in California this evening. In the Bay Area, Santa Clara County County Superior Court Judge Aaron Persky, whom Davis appointed to the bench, could become the first California judge recalled from the bench in 86 years if more than 50 percent of Santa Clara County voters decide on his ouster. Persky was targeted for a recall election after he sentenced former Stanford University swimmer Brock Turner to six months in jail following Turner’s conviction for sexual assault in 2016. Turner was arrested after being found drunk and on top of an unconscious woman on the Stanford campus. He said the act was consensual, but after she read a moving statement about the trauma, and posted it on high-profile websites, critics of Persky’s sentence launched the recall, calling it too lenient. Th California Commission on Judicial Performance investigated and concluded Persky had not shown bias or abuse of his authority. Persky and his defenders say a recall sets a dangerous precedent against judicial independence, but his opponents say the sentence highlights a bias against women in the judicial system and that he must be held accountable. The other recall? Republicans are gunning for an Orange County state senator, Josh Newman, after he voted to support Gov. Jerry Brown’s 12-cent-per-gallon gas tax to raise money for highway and road repairs. Newman barely won election in 2016 in the traditionally Republican district, and if he is removed from office, it could be a harbinger for a Republican statewide ballot measure in November to repeal the tax.4) Traffic or $9 bridge tolls?
Vehicles slowly move through the toll booths at the Bay Bridge in Oakland.
Voters in all nine Bay Area counties will consider Regional Measure 3, $3 per car increase on the tolls on seven Bay Area bridges over the next six years. The money raised, $4.5 billion over 25 years, would fund 25 big projects, including new BART trains, BART to downtown San Jose, new carpool lanes, express lanes and interchanges on Interstate 680, 101 and other freeways, expanded ferry service on San Francisco Bay and expanded Caltrain and AC Transit service. The measure needs 50 percent approval to pass. Not 50 percent in each county, 50 percent region-wide, which means liberal counties like San Francisco, could offset conservative areas like Solano and eastern Contra Costa County. The tolls on the seven bridges are $5 per car, except on the Bay Bridge, where tolls are $6 during prime weekday hours. Bay Area voters have approved taxes in the past for roads, and two years ago, approved their first regional measure, Measure AA, a $12 annual parcel tax to pay for flood projects and wetland restoration around San Francisco Bay. But will sticker shock on something they see everyday prove a tougher sell?5) Limits on developers? Bans on tobacco products? Lots of big choices for Bay Area voters
Tobacco companies have spent $12 million to try to defeat Proposition E, a San Francisco measure that would ban the sale of menthol cigarettes and flavored tobacco products used in electronic cigarettes.
San Francisco will elect a mayor. Oakland and Contra Costa counties have spirited district attorney races. Voters in Foster City will decide the fate of a Measure P, a $90 million local bond to raise levees to reduce flood risk from sea level rise. Napa County voters will consider Measure C, an environmental initiative to limit the amount of oak woodlands that can be cut down for vineyards. A battle over building, jobs and open space is on the ballot in Santa Clara County, where the developer-backed Measure B would allow more homes to be built in the Evergreen area than the current general plan allows, and Measure C, backed by San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo in response to Measure B, would make it more difficult to change the zoning of land in Coyote Valley, the Evergreen foothills and the Almaden Valley. Alameda County also has Measure A, a half-cent sales tax increase for childcare and pre-school programs, child abuse prevention efforts, and programs for homeless and low-income children. Finally, perhaps the most high-profile ballot measure in the Bay Area is Proposition E in San Francisco, which would ban the sale of flavored tobacco, menthol cigarettes, and e-cigarettes with flavors like gummi bear that health advocates say hook children on smoking. The tobacco industry, led by RJ Reynolds, has contributed $12 million to try and kill the measure, which could be copied by other cities if it passes. Ten Things to Watch For Tonight
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